Our Method

Postato da AstroloGoal | | venerdì 10 giugno 2016 11:59 am

Leggi qui la versione italiana di questa pagina


An experiment on Ebertin’s midpoints and its potential betting applications. The winning Moras-Ebertin method explained

The experiment presented here was made in an attempt to demonstrate any statistical relevance in the coincidence of certain planetary aspects defined midpoints (according to the terminology of their discoverer and theorist Reinhold Ebertin) with the total number of goals scored in each game for every season of the Premier League and Italian Serie A from 2011-12 to 2015-16.

In order to be considered eligible for the purposes of our statistical analysis, the outcome of a league game had to fall within strict parameters, thus avoiding inclusion of matches whose outcome could be considered to some extent taken for granted from the point of view of the expectation of the goals scored. For example, a game with final score 1-0 at 1.50 odds for the bet Under 2.5 (i.e. with more than 66.6% probability of ending with less than three goals) has not been counted, being too much in line with expectations and therefore statistically irrelevant. The reference data consisted of the average of all betting odds on the event, provided by the main bookmakers.

We have divided the games that fell within the aforementioned parameters into two groups (Under and Over). The first group includes 560 games, the outcome of which shows a total score of less than three (0-1-2); the second group includes 660 games with a total score equal to or greater than three (3+). For each group, then, we calculated the average % of frequency of each combination of midpoints having at least one between ASC and MC (Ascendant and Midheaven) in its factors, dividing by 3 the sum of the values ​​of the only three possible equations (for example: MC=Sun/Moon, Sun=MC/Moon, Moon=MC/Sun). We have therefore added this average value to the frequency percentage of the sole equation with the individual point as focal point (in our example: MC=Sun/Moon) – the only one that we will take into account in our analysis – and then divided the sum by two, thus obtaining a weighted average.

The purpose of the division in the two groups was to verify the existence of possible midpoint equations, regardless of the angular aspect involved among the factors, that appear more often in games with few goals and with less frequency in games with many goals, and viceversa. Adding the values ​​of the same combination present in the two different groups, we obtained a negative or positive value, depending on whether the frequency was higher in the Under group or in the Over group. For example: the equation MC=Sun/Moon gave a negative value -0.8, that is to say the mean deviation of the frequency value of the equation MC=Sun/Moon (weighted together with Moon=Sun/MC and Sun=Moon/MC) is 0.8% more in games with less than 3 goals.

midpoint-equation

Table 2 shows the percentage differences (greater than 0.6%) obtained from all the midpoints combinations (with an individual point as focal point), ordered starting from the highest ‘negative’ value on the left side (which highlights the combinations of midpoints that appear most often in the games with 0-2 goals), and the highest ‘positive’ value on the right side (which therefore highlights the midpoints combinations that appear most often in games with more than 2 goals). Table 2b shows the midpoints combinations with both the individual points as factors.

Table 2

The most striking fact is the presence of the North Node of the Moon (Node) in three of the first 4 combinations (with a deviation of more than 1.7%) in the Under group on the left. This remarkable statistical data is in line with the characteristics and nature of this celestial factor that, according to astrological tradition, is an indicator of a lack of antagonism that leads rather to socialize in a friendly way with the adversary. As we read in Ebertin’s texts, when the Ascendant is the focal point of the Venus/Node combination there is a tendency towards cordiality and harmonious relations with the environment, as far from the vibrating atmosphere that should be proper to a competitive sporting event. In the case of a combination with Midheaven and Moon, Ebertin even notes a tendency to cultivate affinity and union with respect to the souls involved in the game. Considering also the presence of the Node in the second position (deviation equal to 2.3%) in the group on the right, we note that this factor also tends to exalt the qualities of the planets with which it comes into contact, namely Mars and Sun (planets of fire tending to multiple score) in the Over column, and the slow planets Pluto and Uranus in the Under group. The midpoints combination ASC=Mercury/Jupiter rules the Over group with a deviation of 3.2%. This combination is described by Ebertin as a happy teamwork that leads to successful achievements, and as skills in orchestrating winning plots.

Table 2b

Here’s an example of practical application of our research findings. When consulting an astral chart showing midpoints at the time and location of the sports event, looking at Table 2 you will easily evaluate the probabilities of a high or low number of goals. You can easily get a free midpoints chart at www.astro.com

Let’s take, as an example, the Italian Serie A match Lazio – Carpi on January 6, 2016, in Rome at 03.00 PM, that ended with no one scoring (0 – 0). The average odds for Under 2.5 was 1.81 and therefore the match had a 52% chance to end with less than 3 goals. Next table shows all the midpoints (involving ASC and/or MC as focal points) of this game at start time. The second column contains the combination state of the three elements of the equation, as in Table 2, that is left (Under 2.5) or right (Over 2.5) position. The other two columns show the percent deviation of the detected combinations. As you can see, totals indicate that the astral balance tipped towards an Under outcome.

Let’s see another match now, taking place the same day and at the same time as the previous one, but with a different outcome: Chievo – AS Roma 3 – 3 (6 goals, Over). The average odds offered by bookmakers for Over 2.5 was 2.29 (with a probability of 41%). Again, next table shows all the midpoints of the game involving ASC and/or MC as focal points. Although both events started at the same time, the different location on the second match – in terms of latitude and longitude – added and removed active midpoints from the table of the first one, with totals that now indicate an Over 2.5 outcome.

We believe that our experiment has proved that the new frontier of astrology established by Ebertin’s midpoints represents a valid form of predictive science and that a winning betting system based on these planetary aspects is largely possible, if not even recommendable.

Below are the event charts containing all midpoints of the two matches previously analyzed. As you could see, a very narrow orbital degree (1°50) allows us to solve the flaw of many of the predictive methods out there, which are ultimately unusable in case of concurrent events.

 

Lazio-Carpi-midpoints Chievo-Roma-midpoints

A short introduction to Ebertin’s midpoints can be found here.

DISCLAIMER: Information is provided with sincere intent, and according to our own studies and methodologies. No guarantees are made. You are solely responsible for any bets placed with bookmakers.


ASTRO TIPS OF THE WEEK - ASTRO PRONOSTICI DELLA SETTIMANA

ResourcesResourcesResources

6 Comments»

  1. Comment by Guest — 6 novembre 2017 @ 12:40 pm

    The method only refers to under / over 2.5?
    or who will win?
    or who will lose?

  2. Comment by AstroloGoal — 6 novembre 2017 @ 12:58 pm

    For now we only use methods referring to under/over bets and time of first goal but we’re working on other predictions like players to score and which team will win the game. If you’d like to receive notice about new developments of our predicting methodology, please subscribe our free newsletter.

  3. Comment by Atila — 30 gennaio 2018 @ 1:23 pm

    Hi
    This is all very interesting, but in your Tables 2-2b there are not deviations under 0.6, but in your example you calculated 0.5, 0.3 even 0.1. Please can you write down all possible combinations and deviations begin with 0.1 ?

  4. Comment by Jack — 10 febbraio 2018 @ 6:21 am

    How many examples did you use to find a statiscaly list of the most present midpoints in over 2.5 or under? I use midpoints in predictive sports events, with a dial of 90ºs, with transits, progressions and solar arcs, but use the birth charts of the players/coaches, not horary. I would like to make a statistic not only of the midpoints, but also of other aspects to natal, progressed and solar arc, but the informatic question is getting dificult to overcome.

  5. Comment by Jim — 25 ottobre 2018 @ 9:36 am

    Hello.
    In the example that you have between Chievo and Roma you have choose only 3 midpoints from which you have conclusion of over /under. The natal chart has a lot of midpoints. Why you select only these three?
    I ask so I can figure out which midpoints to select.
    I appreciate your opinion.

  6. Comment by AstroloGoal — 6 dicembre 2018 @ 11:02 am

    The only midpoints equations that we take into account in our predictions are the ones with the individual point – MC or ASC – as focal point (in the example: ASC=Sun/Moon). The other two midpoints in the example (ASC=Moon/Pluto and ASC=Jupiter/Node) could also be ignored because their deviation % is under 0.6 and therefore not listed in Table 2.

RSS feed for comments on this post.

Leave a comment - Lascia un commento

Privacy