Half-Time Goal Method

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In order to prove a correlation to the prospect of either team to score a goal in the first half of a game, we consider only the combinations of midpoints having as factors in the equation at least one of the two individual points of the chart, namely ASC and MC. Using a close orbit of one and a half degree (1.5°) we are able to highlight the midpoints that appear with greater frequency when a goal is scored. That is very useful data in trying to identify those short periods within the game when scoring is more likely.

The peaks on the Scoring Timeline graphs shown below in this section represent the highest probabilities for either team to score during the game based on our statistical research on midpoints. There’s no 100% certainty, of course, but in the long run you can see a pattern that could be highly profitable.

An example of match with midpoints related to Venus in evidence
:

World Cup 2018 » Group Stage · Matchday 2 of 3 » Russia – Egypt 3:1
(June 19th 2018 h 20:00 GMT+1)

The first half of this match ended scoreless: 0-0.

Here’s the commentary by goal.com : “The hosts have certainly been the better side but they look short of ideas in this [first half], where they are yet to play a decent cross into Dzyuba. Egypt have been similarly frustrated in their own attempts to attacks, as they come face-to-face with a resilient Russian defence”.

The Scoring Timeline graph below shows the incidence of midpoints involved in the first half of Russia-Egypt, according to the algebraic sum of percentages as in the frequencies table published in our new ebook.

The -3% negative peak after 25 minutes correspond to the simultaneous presence of the following midpoints:

Here’s the commentary again: “26 mins: Russia continue to focus their attacks on the wide areas, but their final ball into the middle has been lacking“.

In the second half, things suddenly changed and Russia scored 3 goals between 47° and 62° minute:

47 mins: GOAL! RUSSIA TAKE THE LEAD 1-0! It’s a nightmare start to the second half for Egypt. Zobnin fires a poor shot at goal but it took a huge deflected of Fathy, putting it into the bottom right-hand corner.

59 mins: GOAL! RUSSIA DOUBLE THEIR LEAD! It’s 2-0! Fernandes brilliantly makes room on the right to cut a ball back into the middle, where Cheryshev slots home his third goal in two games. Straight through the legs of the Egyptian keeper and the home crowd goes wild here in St Petersburg.

62 mins: GOAL! It’s 3-0! Russia have turned on the style and Dzyuba gets his second goal of the tournament! The striker excellently takes a ball from Kutepov down inside the area, cutting past Gabr and giving El-Shenawy no chance with his finish. Russia are flying once again.

In the Scoring Timeline graph below you can see the very high probability of scoring one or more goals in the second half of this match signalled by midpoints, with a +8% peak around 55° minute, right between the first two goals scored by Russia.

Applications of this method can be consulted weekly on this blog, where a betting system based on midpoints provides free detailed tips on Serie A matches and other major European football leagues.

DISCLAIMER: Information is provided with sincere intent, and according to our own studies and methodologies. No guarantees are made. You are solely responsible for any bets placed with bookmakers.


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